Ron Natin heads a committee that oversees the USA Insurance portfolio with total assets of $25 billion. The portfolio has 15% of total assets allocated to foreign investments, which include both international stocks and bonds. The committee has adopted a position that the domestic markets are efficient and thus, has indexed the domestic portion of the portfolio. Each unique asset class in the domestic portfolio has been benchmarked individually. The committee believes that foreign markets are less efficient and utilizes active managers for this asset class. The foreign allocation is 60% stocks and 40% bonds. The committee has divided the foreign stock portfolio equally among three different managers. The committee closely monitors the risk level of these managers by reviewing their portfolio betas (current betas: 1.1, 0.95, and 1.3).
As part of his committee responsibilities, Natin is required to review all reports and speeches prepared by other members of the committee before they are presented to the public. One of the committee members, Mclanie Henley, has submitted a speech on the subject of international diversification and the international capital asset pricing model (ICAPM) that she will give to a group of MBA students at a local university. Following are excerpts from her proposed speech:
International investment and diversification is an important concern in money management and, of the many relevant issues to discuss, there are two key insights that I will Take time to explain. First of all, it is essential to realize that the currency exposure of a foreign stock investment is the sensitivity of the stock price to a change in the value of the local currency and that a positive correlation between stock prices and the local currency would mean that the local stock price increases as a result of a depreciation of the local currency. Second, as future asset managers you should realize that improvements in a foreign nation's economic activity that result in an increase in real interest rates will decrease bond prices, but will be offset by an appreciation of the home currency.
The ICAPM is similar to the domestic CAPM in several ways. For example, both models assume that investors are risk-averse, preferring lower levels of risk and greater expected returns, that all investors have the same expectations for the risk and return of every asset, and that all investors should hold some combination of a risk-free asset and the market portfolio.
The IGAPM is a useful construct to determine asset prices in a global context. Strategies that depend explicitly on asset prices derived from the ICAPM can rely on these asset prices even if currency hedging is inhibited in certain markets by legal restrictions on such activities.
The committee monitors the investments of its equity managers by modeling the expected returns of each individual stock. The model used is (he ICAPM. One such stock, a Swiss medical equipment manufacturer, has a world beta of 1.2. The world market risk premium is 4%, and the Swiss franc offers a risk premium of 0.5%. The currency exposure is 0.5, and the applicable risk-free rate is 5%. The expected return on this stock according to the ICAPM model is closest to:
Voyager Inc., a primarily internet-based media company, is buying The Daily, a media company with exposure to newspapers, television, and the internet.



Theresa Ponder and Rod Owens are analysts for a multinational investment bank, Datko Bank, based in Canada. Datko's clients have been advised to diversify globally, due to a decrease in expected long-term growth for North American economies.
As part of her analysis of global stocks, Ponder uses the domestic CAPM and the international CAPM to value stocks. She makes the following statements regarding the extension of the domestic capital asset pricing model (CAPM);
Statement 1: To extend the domestic CAPM to international asset pricing using the extended CAPM, one must make two additional assumptions. First, that global investors have identical consumption baskets and second, that interest rate parity holds throughout the world.
Statement 2: The extended CAPM assumes that exchange rate changes are predictable so that there is no real exchange rate risk.
As the primary analyst for European securities, Owens analyzes the stocks in the countries of Catonia and Arbutia. Catonia and Arbutia arc not currently members of the European Union, but have a timetable for joining by the end of the decade.
To evaluate Caionian stocks, he uses the international CAPM. Owens mentions that a foreign currency risk premium must be added in this model, and that the risk premium depends on various parity conditions. He finds that the foreign exchange expectation relation and interest rate parity hold between Canada and Catonia. The interest rate in Canada is 2%, and the interest rate in Catonia is 5%.
One of the companies Owens follows in Arbutia is Diversified Metal Finishers. Diversified produces customized sheet metal applications for manufacturers throughout the world. The firm enjoys a competitive advantage because Arbutia is a commodity-rich country which allows Diversified to source its inputs locally. Owens has found that when the Arbutian currency changes by 10%, the value of the Diversified stock generally changes by 6%.
Ponder is also analyzing stocks in the nations of Bisharov and Dineva. She is estimating the expected return using the international CAPM (ICAPM) for Ivanova Metals, located in Dineva. The data for Canada, Dineva, and lvanova are shown in the following. The foreign currency is denoted as the local currency (LC).
Canadian risk-free rate 2.00%
Dineva risk-free rate 8.00%
World market risk premium 6.00%
Dineva index beta to world market index 1.40
Dineva local market risk premium 7.50%
Ivanova beta to local index 1.30
Foreign currency risk premium 3.00%
Dineva sensitivity of LC stock returns to LC 0.70
Owens examines Ponder's analysis and makes the following statements:
Statement 1: To protect the growing economy and prevent capital flight, the Bisharov government taxes foreign investors at higher rates and has placed limits on currency convertibility. In Dineva, the government has taken a more hands-off approach and does not regulate .foreign investment. If the world were to consist entirely of countries like Bisharov, then the ICAPM cannot be applied.
Statement 2; Furthermore, inflation is often a concern in emerging market countries. To measure an exchange rate between Canada and an emerging market currency that is adjusted for inflation, a real exchange rate should be calculated. Assuming no change in the real exchange rate, the change in an emerging market's asset values in domestic currency will just reflect the emerging market's asset returns in local currency and the difference between inflation rates in the domestic and foreign countries.
Regarding the statements made by Owens on the ICAPM and inflation, are both statements correct?

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